In the latest forecast by Becoin.net, the EUR/CHF exchange rate is expected to face downward pressure in the coming months, with medium‑ and long‑term targets indicating a potential drop toward CHF 0.8082 over the next five years (a ~13.5% depreciation vs current levels).
“In my view, the EUR/CHF pair is showing sustained bearish pressure, and traders should carefully monitor the key support and resistance levels outlined in our latest forecast,” said Saqib Iqbal, market analyst at Becoin.net. “Our projections indicate potential downward movement over the medium to long term, highlighting the importance of strategic hedging for investors.” (Full Forecast)
The near‑term outlook, covering the next week and month, also shows modest downward movement:
- One‑week forecast: CHF 0.9391 (+0.54%)
- One‑month forecast: CHF 0.9251 (–0.96%)
- One‑year forecast: CHF 0.9077 (–2.82%)
This bearish projection aligns with broader market sentiment: recent technical analyses describe EUR/CHF as “inside a long‑term falling channel,” with bearish bias unless a decisive breakout occurs.
Key Drivers & Market Context
- According to a recent weekly outlook, EUR/CHF rebounded from near 0.9178, but resistance around 0.9325 remains intact, meaning further losses remain the favored scenario unless a clean breakout happens.
- Weak euro‑zone growth expectations, the safe‑haven appeal of the Swiss franc, and structural downward pressure on the euro‑franc cross have contributed to a sustained bearish trend over several years.
- Some analysts, including JPMorgan, foresee a modest recovery, projecting EUR/CHF at around 0.95 in Q1 2026, rising to 0.96 by Q4 2026, should signs of improved European growth materialize.
Traders looking for short‑term opportunities may watch for potential bounce attempts, especially near support levels around 0.9178 or in reaction to macroeconomic or geopolitical developments. Medium‑ and long‑term investors or corporate treasuries dealing with EUR/CHF exposure should consider hedging strategies to mitigate currency risk.
Diverging forecasts by institutions underscore the importance of monitoring euro‑zone economic signals, which could alter the pair’s trajectory.
